One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government?. Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predictGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastOne Nation’s spectacular rise from a distant 6% of the vote in the last election to first or second in some recent polls has upended Australian politics.
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Trechos de apoio da pauta: Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predictGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastOne Nation’s spectacular rise from a distant 6% of the vote in the last election to first or second in some recent polls has upended Australian politics. It has also made it a lot harder to predict what exactly will happen at the next election.Traditionally, pollsters and election experts would look at how preferences flowed in previous elections when estimating two-party preferred numbers, or translating polling into seat projections.
- Ponto de atenção: nation.
- Ponto de atenção: rise.
- Ponto de atenção: puts.
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